Our Tapatio vs Universidad Guadalajara Prediction: 2-1
Tapatio vs Universidad Guadalajara in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Friday January 30, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tapatio's Last Match – Tapatio vs Venados FC
Tapatio will look to carry forward their winning form after a 4-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion success over Venados FC on January 16. In that match, Tapatio saw 54% of the ball and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tapatio | 54% | 0 (7) | - | 56 |
 Venados FC | 46% | 0 (4) | - | 52 |
Universidad Guadalajara's Last Match – Irapuato vs Universidad Guadalajara
Universidad Guadalajara will look to get back on track following a 1-4 Mexico Liga de Expansion loss against Irapuato on January 18. In that match, Universidad Guadalajara controlled 44% of possession and managed 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Irapuato | 56% | 0 (6) | - | 43 |
 Universidad Guadalajara | 44% | 0 (2) | - | 58 |
Tapatio vs Universidad Guadalajara Stats
Key Stats
| Tapatio | Universidad Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Attacking Strength | 0.78 |
| 1.04 | Defence Strength | 0.96 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tapatio are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Universidad Guadalajara average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.