Our Tapatio vs Venados FC Prediction: 3-1
Tapatio vs Venados FC in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Friday January 16, 2026. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Tapatio's Last Match – Club Atletico La Paz vs Tapatio
Tapatio will be determined to find a winning touch after a 2-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion draw against Club Atletico La Paz on January 10. In that match, Tapatio had 35% possession and 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Club Atletico La Paz | 65% | 0 (6) | - | 56 |
Tapatio | 35% | 0 (6) | - | 35 |
Venados FC's Last Match – Venados FC vs Irapuato
Venados FC will aim to maintain their momentum following a 4-1 Mexico Liga de Expansion triumph against Irapuato on January 10. In that match, Venados FC recorded 41% possession and 6 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Venados FC | 41% | 0 (6) | - | 64 |
Irapuato | 59% | 0 (3) | - | 54 |
Tapatio vs Venados FC Stats
Key Stats
| Tapatio | Venados FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | Attacking Strength | 1.21 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 1.41 |
| 0.6 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tapatio are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Venados FC average 2.3 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Tapatio 12-15
Venados FC 23-16
What are the odds for this match?
Tapatio to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.7
Venados FC to win: @3