Our Tauranga City AFC vs Melville United Prediction: 3-1
Tauranga City AFC vs Melville United in the New Zealand Northern League is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 28, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tauranga City AFC's Last Match – Tauranga City AFC vs East Coast Bays
Tauranga City AFC must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 New Zealand Northern League draw against East Coast Bays on March 21. In that match, Tauranga City AFC saw 20% of the ball and 0 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tauranga City AFC | 20% | 0 (0) | - | 2 |
East Coast Bays | 80% | 0 (0) | - | 0 |
Melville United's Last Match – Melville United vs Auckland United FC
Melville United must win to recover from their recent 1-4 New Zealand Northern League defeat against Auckland United FC on March 21 and regain momentum. In that match, Melville United controlled 36% of possession and managed 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Melville United | 36% | 0 (3) | - | 26 |
Auckland United FC | 64% | 0 (9) | - | 44 |
Tauranga City AFC vs Melville United Stats
Key Stats
| Tauranga City AFC | Melville United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | Attacking Strength | 0.75 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 1.51 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tauranga City AFC are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Melville United average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
Tauranga City AFC 13-20
Melville United 17-22
What are the odds for this match?
Tauranga City AFC to win: @1.666
Draw: @4.2
Melville United to win: @3.6