Our Casa Pia vs Tondela Prediction: 2-1
Casa Pia vs Tondela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 11:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday May 2, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Casa Pia's Last Match – Alverca vs Casa Pia
Casa Pia will look to get back on track following a 1-3 Portugal Primeira Liga loss against Alverca on April 12. In that match, Casa Pia recorded 40% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alverca | 60% | 11 (5) | 1.82 | 38 |
 Casa Pia | 40% | 8 (4) | 0.65 | 49 |
Tondela's Last Match – Tondela vs Gil Vicente
Tondela will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 2-2 Portugal Primeira Liga draw with Gil Vicente on April 13. In that match, Tondela saw 52% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tondela | 52% | 8 (4) | 1.72 | 32 |
 Gil Vicente | 48% | 12 (8) | 1.66 | 64 |
Casa Pia vs Tondela Stats
Key Stats
| Casa Pia | Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | Attacking Strength | 0.82 |
| 1.48 | Defence Strength | 1.32 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Casa Pia are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Tondela average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.