Our Tondela vs Casa Pia Prediction: 1-1
Tondela vs Casa Pia in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 11:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 21, 2025. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tondela's Last Match – Tondela vs Caldas SC
Tondela will seek to go one better this time following a 0-0 Portugal Cup share of the spoils with Caldas SC on November 23. In that match, Tondela recorded 67% possession, firing 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tondela | 67% | 0 (6) | - | 141 |
 Caldas SC | 33% | 0 (5) | - | 75 |
Casa Pia's Last Match – FC Alpendorada vs Casa Pia
Casa Pia must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-0 Portugal Cup victory over FC Alpendorada in their last outing. In that match, Casa Pia recorded 50% possession and 5 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FC Alpendorada | 50% | 0 (1) | - | 43 |
 Casa Pia | 50% | 0 (5) | - | 29 |
Tondela vs Casa Pia Stats
Key Stats
| Tondela | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.65 | Attacking Strength | 0.73 |
| 1.3 | Defence Strength | 1.08 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tondela are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Casa Pia average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.