Our Nacional vs Tondela Prediction: 2-1
Nacional vs Tondela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 11:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 14, 2025. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Nacional vs Tondela prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nacional's Last Match – Braga vs Nacional
Nacional must win to recover from their recent 2-4 Portugal Cup defeat against Braga on November 23 and regain momentum. In that match, Nacional recorded 50% possession, firing 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Braga | 50% | 0 (5) | - | 76 |
 Nacional | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 34 |
Tondela's Last Match – Tondela vs Caldas SC
Tondela will look to build on their last result following a 0-0 Portugal Cup stalemate against Caldas SC on November 23. In that match, Tondela recorded 67% possession and 6 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tondela | 67% | 0 (6) | - | 141 |
 Caldas SC | 33% | 0 (5) | - | 75 |
Nacional vs Tondela Stats
Key Stats
| Nacional | Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | Attacking Strength | 0.65 |
| 1.7 | Defence Strength | 1.45 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nacional are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Tondela average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.