Our Nacional vs Tondela Prediction: 2-1
Nacional vs Tondela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 11:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 14, 2025. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Nacional vs Tondela prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nacional's Last Match – Alverca vs Nacional
Nacional must win to recover from their recent 0-1 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Alverca on December 7 and regain momentum. In that match, Nacional recorded 50% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Alverca | 50% | 7 (4) | 2.06 | 35 |
Nacional | 50% | 8 (3) | 0.91 | 57 |
Tondela's Last Match – Tondela vs FC Porto
Tondela will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 Portugal Primeira Liga loss to FC Porto on December 7. In that match, Tondela recorded 25% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tondela | 25% | 9 (3) | 0.43 | 25 |
FC Porto | 75% | 8 (5) | 1.92 | 53 |
Nacional vs Tondela Stats
Key Stats
| Nacional | Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | Attacking Strength | 0.65 |
| 1.7 | Defence Strength | 1.45 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nacional are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Tondela average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.



Alverca
Nacional
Tondela
FC Porto
FC Porto
Sporting
Benfica
Braga
Gil Vicente
Famalicao
Estoril
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Alverca
Estrela
Casa Pia
Nacional
Rio Ave
Tondela
Santa Clara