Our Rio Ave vs Tondela Prediction: 2-1
Rio Ave vs Tondela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Rio Ave vs Tondela prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Exact Score Tips
Recent Form Insights
Rio Ave's Last Match – Famalicao vs Rio Ave
Rio Ave will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 0-0 Portugal Primeira Liga draw with Famalicao on September 28. In that match, Rio Ave had 42% possession and 3 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Famalicao | 58% | 18 (6) | 2.48 | 89 |
 Rio Ave | 42% | 3 (3) | 0.59 | 23 |
Tondela's Last Match – Santa Clara vs Tondela
Tondela will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 Portugal Primeira Liga triumph against Santa Clara on September 27. In that match, Tondela controlled 47% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Santa Clara | 53% | 7 (5) | 1.79 | 42 |
 Tondela | 47% | 12 (4) | 0.7 | 22 |
Rio Ave vs Tondela Stats
Key Stats
| Rio Ave | Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | Attacking Strength | 0.58 |
| 1.24 | Defence Strength | 1.5 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 0/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Rio Ave are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Tondela average 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Rio Ave 12-21
Tondela 9-14
What are the odds for this match?
Rio Ave to win: @2.2
Draw: @3.4
Tondela to win: @3.2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975
Lineups
Rio Ave (3-4-3) : Cezary Miszta, Francisco Petrasso, Jakub Brabec, Jonathan Panzo, Marios Vroussay, Brandon Aguilera, Andreas Ntoi, Nikolaos Athanasiou, Dario Spikic, Clayton Silva, Andre
Tondela (4-2-3-1) : Bernardo Caltabiano Parise Fontes, Bebeto, Brayan Medina, Christian Marques, Tiago Manso, Sphephelo Sithole, Juan Rodriguez, Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos, Rony Lopes, Ivan Cavaleiro, Jordan Siebatcheu
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Gil Vicente 
Braga 
Guimaraes 
Moreirense 
Famalicao 
Estoril 
Rio Ave 
Alverca 
Estrela 
Nacional 
Santa Clara 
Casa Pia 
Arouca 
Tondela