Our Leioa vs UD Aretxabaleta Prediction: 2-1
Leioa vs UD Aretxabaleta in the Spain Tercera Group 4 is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Leioa vs UD Aretxabaleta prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Leioa's Last Match – Zamudio vs Leioa
Leioa will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 Spain Tercera Group 4 defeat at the hands of Zamudio on September 27.
UD Aretxabaleta's Last Match – UD Aretxabaleta vs Eibar C
UD Aretxabaleta will aim to maintain their momentum following a 4-0 Spain Tercera Group 4 triumph against Eibar C on September 27. In that match, UD Aretxabaleta recorded 49% possession and 11 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
UD Aretxabaleta | 49% | 0 (11) | - | 60 |
Eibar C | 51% | 0 (3) | - | 47 |
Leioa vs UD Aretxabaleta Stats
Key Stats
| Leioa | UD Aretxabaleta | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Attacking Strength | 0.73 |
| 1.1 | Defence Strength | 1.05 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Leioa are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while UD Aretxabaleta average 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Portugalete 
Aurrera de Vitoria 
San Ignacio 
Pasaia KE 
Lagun Onak 
Cultural de Durango 
Zamudio 
Leioa 
Real Sociedad C 
Santurtzi 
SD Deusto