Our Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin Prediction: 3-1
Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday August 31, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund
Determined to get back to winning ways, Borussia Dortmund must win after their 3-3 Germany Bundesliga I draw against St Pauli on August 23. In that match, Borussia Dortmund controlled 49% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 51% | 9 (7) | 1.27 | 58 |
 Borussia Dortmund | 49% | 6 (7) | 1.42 | 23 |
Union Berlin's Last Match – Union Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 Germany Bundesliga I victory over VfB Stuttgart in their last outing. In that match, Union Berlin saw 25% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Union Berlin | 25% | 5 (2) | 0.49 | 28 |
 VfB Stuttgart | 75% | 14 (6) | 1.59 | 63 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin Stats
Key Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | Attacking Strength | 0.8 |
| 0.8 | Defence Strength | 1.17 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.5 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund are averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Union Berlin average 2.4 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund 25-15
Union Berlin 24-7
What are the odds for this match?
Borussia Dortmund to win: @1.363
Draw: @5.5
Union Berlin to win: @7
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund (3-5-2) : Gregor Kobel, Aaron Anselmino, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Yan Couto, Julian Brandt, Marcel Sabitzer, Jobe Bellingham, Daniel Svensson, Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier
Union Berlin (3-5-2) : Frederik Ronnow, Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Tom Rothe, Christopher Trimmel, Alex Kral, Rani Khedira, Janik Haberer, Robert Skov, Andrej Ilic, Ilyas Ansah
Bayern Munich 
Borussia Dortmund 
Cologne 
St Pauli 
Eintracht Frankfurt 
TSG Hoffenheim 
RB Leipzig 
Wolfsburg 
Werder Bremen 
Bayer Leverkusen 
Augsburg 
VfB Stuttgart 
SC Freiburg 
Union Berlin 
Mainz 
Borussia M'gladbach 
Hamburg 
Heidenheim