Our Hamburg vs Union Berlin Prediction: 2-1
Hamburg vs Union Berlin in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Hamburg vs Union Berlin prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hamburg's Last Match – Heidenheim vs Hamburg
Determined to maintain their recent success, Hamburg must win following their 2-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory against Heidenheim on February 7. In that match, Hamburg recorded 52% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Heidenheim | 48% | 13 (4) | 1.53 | 35 |
 Hamburg | 52% | 10 (5) | 1.48 | 36 |
Union Berlin's Last Match – Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I draw against Eintracht Frankfurt on February 6. In that match, Union Berlin saw 27% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Union Berlin | 27% | 10 (3) | 1.24 | 37 |
 Eintracht Frankfurt | 73% | 3 (1) | 0.14 | 39 |
Hamburg vs Union Berlin Stats
Key Stats
| Hamburg | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 0.66 |
| 0.73 | Defence Strength | 1.05 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hamburg are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Union Berlin average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Hamburg 13-13
Union Berlin 13-18
What are the odds for this match?
Hamburg to win: @2.5
Draw: @3.25
Union Berlin to win: @2.9
Lineups
Hamburg (3-4-3) : Daniel Fernandes, Nicolas Capaldo, Luka Vuskovic, Jordan Torunarigha, Bakery Jatta, Fabio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Ransford Konigsdorffer, Robert Glatzel, Philipas Otele
Union Berlin (3-4-1-2) : Frederik Ronnow, Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Stanley Nsoki, Christopher Trimmel, Rani Khedira, Aljoscha Kemlein, Derrick Kohn, Jeong Woo-yeong, Andrej Ilic, Ilyas Ansah
Bayern Munich 
Borussia Dortmund 
TSG Hoffenheim 
VfB Stuttgart 
RB Leipzig 
Bayer Leverkusen 
Eintracht Frankfurt 
SC Freiburg 
Hamburg 
Union Berlin 
Augsburg 
Cologne 
Borussia M'gladbach 
Mainz 
Wolfsburg 
Werder Bremen 
St Pauli 
Heidenheim