Our RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Prediction: 3-1
RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 18:30 GMT kick-off on Friday April 24, 2026. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
RB Leipzig's Last Match – RB Leipzig vs Borussia M'gladbach
RB Leipzig will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Borussia M'gladbach, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, RB Leipzig recorded 52% possession, attempting 17 shots on goal, with 11 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 RB Leipzig | 52% | 17 (11) | 2.25 | 82 |
 Borussia M'gladbach | 48% | 6 (3) | 1.72 | 36 |
Union Berlin's Last Match – Heidenheim vs Union Berlin
Union Berlin will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-3 Germany Bundesliga I defeat at the hands of Heidenheim on April 11. In that match, Union Berlin controlled 55% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Heidenheim | 45% | 5 (3) | 2.06 | 42 |
 Union Berlin | 55% | 5 (3) | 0.94 | 53 |
RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Stats
Key Stats
| RB Leipzig | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | Attacking Strength | 0.61 |
| 1.01 | Defence Strength | 1.1 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
RB Leipzig are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Union Berlin average 0.9 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
RB Leipzig 18-11
Union Berlin 9-20
What are the odds for this match?
RB Leipzig to win: @1.363
Draw: @4.75
Union Berlin to win: @8