Our Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction: 2-1
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Friday December 12, 2025. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
Our prediction is supported by key Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Union Berlin's Last Match – St Pauli vs Union Berlin
Determined to maintain their recent success, Union Berlin must win following their 1-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory against St Pauli on November 23. In that match, Union Berlin recorded 41% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 59% | 8 (3) | 0.7 | 63 |
 Union Berlin | 41% | 6 (3) | 0.4 | 31 |
RB Leipzig's Last Match – RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Werder Bremen on November 23. In that match, RB Leipzig controlled 52% of possession and managed 19 shots on goal, with 13 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 RB Leipzig | 52% | 19 (13) | 2.02 | 55 |
 Werder Bremen | 48% | 16 (6) | 0.73 | 42 |
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Stats
Key Stats
| Union Berlin | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | Attacking Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.13 | Defence Strength | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 2.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Union Berlin are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while RB Leipzig average 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.