Our Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction: 2-1
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Friday December 12, 2025. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
Our prediction is supported by key Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Union Berlin's Last Match – Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin
Union Berlin must win to recover from their recent 1-3 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against Wolfsburg on December 6 and regain momentum. In that match, Union Berlin recorded 57% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wolfsburg | 43% | 3 (3) | 0.8 | 14 |
 Union Berlin | 57% | 13 (6) | 2.15 | 78 |
RB Leipzig's Last Match – RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 6-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Eintracht Frankfurt on December 6. In that match, RB Leipzig controlled 52% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 RB Leipzig | 52% | 13 (7) | 3.71 | 44 |
 Eintracht Frankfurt | 48% | 5 (2) | 0.45 | 37 |
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Stats
Key Stats
| Union Berlin | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | Attacking Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.13 | Defence Strength | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 2.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Union Berlin are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while RB Leipzig average 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.