Our Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Prediction: 2-1
Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 7, 2025. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Mineiro's Last Match – Lanus vs Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 0-0 Copa Sudamericana draw with Lanus on November 22. In that match, Atletico Mineiro controlled 51% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lanus | 49% | 11 (4) | 0.51 | 59 |
Atletico Mineiro | 51% | 13 (4) | 1.18 | 55 |
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – EC Bahia vs Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 Brazil Serie A defeat at the hands of EC Bahia on November 23. In that match, Vasco da Gama recorded 45% possession, attempting 3 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
EC Bahia | 55% | 8 (4) | 2.32 | 61 |
Vasco da Gama | 45% | 3 (1) | 0.35 | 30 |
Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Mineiro | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Attacking Strength | 1.49 |
| 0.99 | Defence Strength | 0.95 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Mineiro are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Vasco da Gama average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.



Lanus
Atletico Mineiro
EC Bahia
Vasco da Gama
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Botafogo
EC Bahia
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Bragantino
Corinthians
Atletico Mineiro
Gremio
Vasco da Gama
Ceara
Internacional
Vitoria
Santos
Fortaleza
EC Juventude
Sport Recife