Our Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense Prediction: 3-1
Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday February 5, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu
Vasco da Gama will seek to go one better this time following a 0-0 Brazil Campeonato Carioca share of the spoils with Nova Iguacu on January 18. In that match, Vasco da Gama recorded 63% possession and 3 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vasco da Gama | 63% | 0 (3) | 0.2 | 54 |
 Nova Iguacu | 37% | 0 (4) | 0.77 | 16 |
Chapecoense's Last Match – Concordia AC vs Chapecoense
Chapecoense will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 Brazil Campeonato Catarinense victory over Concordia AC on January 14.
Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense Stats
Key Stats
| Vasco da Gama | Chapecoense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | Attacking Strength | 0.38 |
| 1.61 | Defence Strength | 1.25 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Vasco da Gama are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Chapecoense average 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.