Our Vasco da Gama vs EC Bahia Prediction: 3-1
Vasco da Gama vs EC Bahia in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday February 12, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This Vasco da Gama vs EC Bahia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo
Vasco da Gama will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-0 Brazil Campeonato Carioca victory over Botafogo on February 8. In that match, Vasco da Gama recorded 65% possession and 4 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vasco da Gama | 65% | 0 (4) | 2.05 | 47 |
 Botafogo | 35% | 0 (1) | 0.23 | 28 |
EC Bahia's Last Match – Juazeirense vs EC Bahia
EC Bahia will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Brazil Campeonato Baiano draw against Juazeirense on February 8. In that match, EC Bahia had 54% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Juazeirense | 46% | 12 (6) | - | 54 |
 EC Bahia | 54% | 8 (1) | - | 40 |
Vasco da Gama vs EC Bahia Stats
Key Stats
| Vasco da Gama | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | Attacking Strength | 0.76 |
| 1.61 | Defence Strength | 1.51 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Vasco da Gama are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while EC Bahia average 2.3 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Vasco da Gama 12-8
EC Bahia 23-9
Lineups
Vasco da Gama (4-2-3-1) : Leo Jardim, Pumita Rodriguez, Carlos Cuesta, Robert Renan, Lucas Piton, Cauan Barros, Thiago Mendes, Nuno Moreira, Philippe Coutinho, Andres Gomez, Brenner
EC Bahia (4-2-3-1) : Ronaldo, Roman Gomez, Kanu, Santiago Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba, Nicolas Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Cristian Olivera, Everton Ribeiro, Ademir, Willian Jose
Palmeiras 
Fluminense 
Sao Paulo 
EC Bahia 
Flamengo 
Athletico Paranaense 
Coritiba 
Atletico Mineiro 
Bragantino 
Vitoria 
Vasco da Gama 
Santos 
Botafogo 
Gremio 
Internacional 
Corinthians 
Chapecoense 
Clube Do Remo 
Cruzeiro 
Mirassol