Our Santos vs Vasco da Gama Prediction: 2-1
Santos vs Vasco da Gama in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 22:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday February 26, 2026. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Santos vs Vasco da Gama prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Santos's Last Match – Gremio Novorizontino vs Santos
After suffering a 1-2 Brazil Campeonato Paulista loss to Gremio Novorizontino, Santos must win to get back on track. In that match, Santos recorded 57% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gremio Novorizontino | 43% | 14 (6) | 2.5 | 50 |
Santos | 57% | 6 (4) | 0.68 | 53 |
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense
Vasco da Gama will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Brazil Campeonato Carioca loss to Fluminense on February 22. In that match, Vasco da Gama saw 64% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vasco da Gama | 64% | 0 (2) | 0.21 | 75 |
Fluminense | 36% | 0 (4) | 1.13 | 36 |
Santos vs Vasco da Gama Stats
Key Stats
| Santos | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | Attacking Strength | 0.91 |
| 0.55 | Defence Strength | 1.19 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Santos are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Vasco da Gama average 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Santos 15-14
Vasco da Gama 8-7
What are the odds for this match?
Santos to win: @2.05
Draw: @3.5
Vasco da Gama to win: @3.5
Lineups
Santos (4-2-3-1) : Gabriel Brazao, Igor Vinicius, Adonis Frias, Luan Peres, Vinicius Rodrigues Lira, Willian Arao, Gabriel Morais Silva Bontempo, Miguelito, Neymar, Moises, Thaciano
Vasco da Gama (4-2-3-1) : Leo Jardim, Paulo Henrique, Alan Gabriel Saldivia Vazquez, Robert Renan, Lucas Piton, Cauan Barros, Thiago Mendes, Nuno Moreira, Johan Rojas, Andres Gomez, Claudio Spinelli



Gremio Novorizontino
Santos
Vasco da Gama
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
EC Bahia
Fluminense
Athletico Paranaense
Bragantino
Gremio
Chapecoense
Mirassol
Flamengo
Coritiba
Santos
Botafogo
Vitoria
Clube Do Remo
Atletico Mineiro
Internacional
Cruzeiro
Vasco da Gama