Our Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo Prediction: 2-1
Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday November 2, 2025. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Bragantino vs Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-0 Brazil Serie A victory over Bragantino on October 26. In that match, Vasco da Gama saw 48% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bragantino | 52% | 5 (1) | 0.61 | 68 |
 Vasco da Gama | 48% | 7 (5) | 1.79 | 37 |
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs EC Bahia
Determined to maintain their recent success, Sao Paulo must win following their 2-0 Brazil Serie A victory against EC Bahia on October 26. In that match, Sao Paulo controlled 78% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sao Paulo | 78% | 8 (5) | 1.29 | 58 |
 EC Bahia | 22% | 5 (3) | 0.95 | 28 |
Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo Stats
Key Stats
| Vasco da Gama | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.57 | Defence Strength | 0.95 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Vasco da Gama are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Sao Paulo average 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Vasco da Gama 20-11
Sao Paulo 7-13
What are the odds for this match?
Vasco da Gama to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.25
Sao Paulo to win: @3.5
Lineups
Vasco da Gama (4-2-3-1) : Leo Jardim, Paulo Henrique, Carlos Cuesta, Robert Renan, Lucas Piton, Tche Tche, Cauan Barros, Andres Gomez, Philippe Coutinho, Nuno Moreira, Rayan
Sao Paulo (3-4-1-2) : Rafael, Sabino, Alan Franco, Robert Arboleda, Mailton, Damian Bobadilla, Pablo Maia, Enzo Diaz, Marcos Antonio, Gonzalo Tapia, Lucas Moura
Flamengo 
Palmeiras 
Cruzeiro 
Mirassol 
Botafogo 
EC Bahia 
Fluminense 
Sao Paulo 
Bragantino 
Corinthians 
Atletico Mineiro 
Gremio 
Vasco da Gama 
Ceara 
Internacional 
Vitoria 
Santos 
Fortaleza 
EC Juventude 
Sport Recife