Our Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo Prediction: 1-1
Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. A 1-1 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
This Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama will be looking to bounce back after a 0-3 Brazil Serie A defeat against Palmeiras on October 1. In that match, Vasco da Gama saw 63% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 37% | 9 (6) | 0.09 | 2 |
![]() | 63% | 8 (3) | - | 3 |
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo
Determined to maintain their recent success, Sao Paulo must win following their 2-0 Brazil Serie A victory against Fortaleza on October 2. In that match, Sao Paulo controlled 26% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 74% | 16 (6) | 0.97 | 79 |
![]() | 26% | 7 (3) | 1.42 | 18 |
Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo Stats
Key Stats
Vasco da Gama | Sao Paulo | |
---|---|---|
0.99 | Attacking Strength | 0.97 |
1.26 | Defence Strength | 0.85 |
1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
7/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
1.5 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Vasco da Gama are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Sao Paulo average 0.8 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.