Our Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction: 2-1
Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 01:30 GMT kick-off on Friday June 13, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo will hope to recover from their recent 1-2 Brazil Serie A setback against EC Bahia on May 31. In that match, Sao Paulo controlled 42% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
EC Bahia | 58% | 8 (7) | 2.33 | 47 |
Sao Paulo | 42% | 8 (4) | 1.86 | 24 |
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Vasco da Gama vs Bragantino
Vasco da Gama will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-2 Brazil Serie A defeat at the hands of Bragantino on June 1. In that match, Vasco da Gama had 67% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vasco da Gama | 67% | 13 (5) | 1.85 | 79 |
Bragantino | 33% | 3 (3) | 0.52 | 23 |
Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | Attacking Strength | 0.63 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 1.62 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Vasco da Gama average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 12-10
Vasco da Gama 11-14
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @1.85
Draw: @3.3
Vasco da Gama to win: @4.75
Lineups
Sao Paulo (4-2-3-1) : Rafael, Cedric, Robert Arboleda, Alan Franco, Enzo Diaz, Alisson, Pablo Maia, Lucas dos Santos Ferreira, Luciano, Lucca Marques, Andre Silva
Vasco da Gama (4-2-3-1) : Leo Jardim, Paulo Henrique, Joao Victor, Lucas Freitas, Lucas Piton, Hugo Moura, Tche Tche, Rayan, Philippe Coutinho, Nuno Moreira, Pablo Vegetti