Our Villarreal vs Ajax Prediction: 2-3
Villarreal vs Ajax in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday January 20, 2026. With both teams showing attacking intent, a 2-3 away victory is our primary pick, but over 2.5 goals stands out as another strong betting choice.
This Villarreal vs Ajax prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Villarreal's Last Match – Real Betis vs Villarreal
Villarreal will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 Spain La Liga loss to Real Betis on January 17. In that match, Villarreal recorded 40% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Betis | 60% | 9 (6) | 1.21 | 52 |
 Villarreal | 40% | 6 (3) | 0.98 | 28 |
Ajax's Last Match – Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles
Ajax will be determined to find a winning touch after a 2-2 Netherlands Eredivisie draw against Go Ahead Eagles on January 17. In that match, Ajax recorded 51% possession, attempting 14 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ajax | 51% | 14 (8) | 3.47 | 36 |
 Go Ahead Eagles | 49% | 9 (6) | 0.86 | 39 |
Villarreal vs Ajax Stats
Key Stats
| Villarreal | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | Attacking Strength | 1.6 |
| 1.16 | Defence Strength | 1.24 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 2.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Villarreal are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Ajax average 2.5 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Villarreal 15-18
Ajax 25-19
What are the odds for this match?
Villarreal to win: @1.533
Draw: @4.5
Ajax to win: @5