Our Stoke vs Watford Prediction: 1-1
Stoke vs Watford in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 1, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Stoke vs Watford prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs Middlesbrough
Stoke will look to get back on track following a 1-3 England Championship loss against Middlesbrough on February 25. In that match, Stoke saw 47% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stoke | 47% | 8 (3) | 1.24 | 47 |
 Middlesbrough | 53% | 13 (6) | 2.19 | 23 |
Watford's Last Match – Watford vs Luton
Watford will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 England Championship triumph against Luton on February 23. In that match, Watford controlled 54% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Watford | 54% | 8 (5) | 2.49 | 26 |
 Luton | 46% | 4 (2) | 0.73 | 45 |
Stoke vs Watford Stats
Key Stats
| Stoke | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 1.06 | Defence Strength | 0.98 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Stoke are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Watford average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Stoke 15-19
Watford 11-16
What are the odds for this match?
Stoke to win: @2.45
Draw: @3.3
Watford to win: @2.875
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95
Lineups
Stoke (4-2-3-1) : Viktor Johansson, Junior Tchamadeu, Ashley Phillips, Ben Wilmot, Enda Stevens, Ben Pearson, Jordan Thompson, Lewis Koumas, Andy Moran, Bae Joon-ho, Ali Al-Hamadi
Watford (4-2-3-1) : Egil Selvik, Jeremy Ngakia, Matthew Pollock, James Abankwah, Yasser Larouci, Imran Louza, Tom Dele-Bashiru, Tom Ince, Edo Kayembe, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Mamadou Doumbia