Our Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction: 2-1
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 06:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 3, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Brisbane Roar's Last Match – Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 Australia A-League victory over Central Coast Mariners on December 31. In that match, Brisbane Roar had 53% possession and 14 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Central Coast Mariners | 47% | 5 (1) | 0.78 | 32 |
 Brisbane Roar | 53% | 14 (7) | 1.82 | 55 |
Wellington Phoenix's Last Match – Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-5 Australia A-League defeat at the hands of Melbourne Victory on December 29. In that match, Wellington Phoenix saw 42% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Melbourne Victory | 58% | 13 (6) | 1.79 | 57 |
 Wellington Phoenix | 42% | 7 (2) | 1.22 | 34 |
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Stats
Key Stats
| Brisbane Roar | Wellington Phoenix | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.68 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 1.68 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Brisbane Roar are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Wellington Phoenix average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Brisbane Roar 11-6
Wellington Phoenix 14-20
What are the odds for this match?
Brisbane Roar to win: @1.7
Draw: @3.9
Wellington Phoenix to win: @4.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Brisbane Roar (4-4-2) : Dean Bouzanis, Dimitri Valkanis, Lucas Herrington, Hosine Bility, James McGarry, Youstin Salas, Samuel Klein, Jay O'Shea, Michael Ruhs, Justin Vidic, Quinn MacNicol
Wellington Phoenix (4-5-1) : Eamonn McCarron, Matt Sheridan, Isaac Hughes, Manjrekar James, Carlo Armiento, Fin Conchie, Alex Rufer, Kazuki Nagasawa, Corban Piper, Eze Ifeanyi, Ramy Najjarine
Newcastle Jets 
Auckland FC 
Sydney FC 
Adelaide United 
Melbourne Victory 
Macarthur FC 
Central Coast Mariners 
Melbourne City 
Brisbane Roar 
Perth Glory 
Wellington Phoenix 
Western Sydney Wanderers