Our Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction: 3-2
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 08:35 GMT kick-off on Friday January 23, 2026. A 3-2 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle Jets's Last Match – Auckland FC vs Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-1 Australia A-League victory over Auckland FC in their last outing. In that match, Newcastle Jets saw 33% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Auckland FC | 67% | 16 (8) | 2.52 | 84 |
 Newcastle Jets | 33% | 6 (4) | 1.73 | 15 |
Wellington Phoenix's Last Match – Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-0 Australia A-League success over Brisbane Roar on January 3. In that match, Wellington Phoenix controlled 34% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brisbane Roar | 66% | 9 (4) | 1.36 | 60 |
 Wellington Phoenix | 34% | 7 (4) | 1.36 | 32 |
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle Jets | Wellington Phoenix | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.54 | Defence Strength | 1.32 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle Jets are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Wellington Phoenix average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Auckland FC 
Sydney FC 
Macarthur FC 
Brisbane Roar 
Melbourne City 
Melbourne Victory 
Perth Glory 
Newcastle Jets 
Adelaide United 
Wellington Phoenix 
Western Sydney Wanderers 
Central Coast Mariners