Our Burnley vs West Brom Prediction: 1-0
Burnley vs West Brom in the England Championship is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 11, 2025. We anticipate a close game, with Burnley securing a 1-0 win thanks to a crucial moment of quality against West Brom.
This Burnley vs West Brom prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Luton
Determined to maintain their recent success, Burnley must win following their 4-0 England Championship victory against Luton on March 8. In that match, Burnley had 72% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 72% | 9 (4) | 1.95 | 66 |
 Luton | 28% | 3 (2) | 0.33 | 24 |
West Brom's Last Match – West Brom vs QPR
West Brom will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 England Championship victory over QPR on March 8. In that match, West Brom controlled 39% of possession and managed 2 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 West Brom | 39% | 2 (1) | 0.86 | 27 |
 QPR | 61% | 4 (1) | 0.73 | 69 |
Burnley vs West Brom Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | Attacking Strength | 0.76 |
| 0.19 | Defence Strength | 0.91 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match, while West Brom average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Burnley 14-4
West Brom 14-11
What are the odds for this match?
Burnley to win: @1.909
Draw: @3.25
West Brom to win: @4.2
Lineups
Burnley (4-2-3-1) : James Trafford, Connor Roberts, CJ Egan-Riley, Maxime Esteve, Lucas Pires, Josh Brownhill, Josh Cullen, Marcus Edwards, Hannibal Mejbri, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming
West Brom (4-3-3) : Joe Wildsmith, Ousmane Diakite, Mason Holgate, Torbjorn Lysaker Heggem, Callum Styles, John Swift, Alex Mowatt, Isaac Price, Grady Diangana, Adam Armstrong, Karlan Grant