Our AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction: 2-1
AC Milan vs Lecce in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 18, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
Our prediction is supported by key AC Milan vs Lecce stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
AC Milan's Last Match – Fiorentina vs AC Milan
AC Milan will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Italy Serie A share of the spoils with Fiorentina on January 11. In that match, AC Milan had 48% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiorentina | 52% | 14 (7) | 1.44 | 54 |
AC Milan | 48% | 8 (3) | 1.8 | 35 |
Lecce's Last Match – Lecce vs Parma
Lecce will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Italy Serie A loss against Parma on January 11. In that match, Lecce recorded 41% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lecce | 41% | 6 (1) | 0.87 | 29 |
Parma | 59% | 7 (2) | 1.11 | 52 |
AC Milan vs Lecce Stats
Key Stats
| AC Milan | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | Attacking Strength | 0.71 |
| 0.8 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AC Milan are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Lecce average 0.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
AC Milan 13-9
Lecce 6-13
What are the odds for this match?
AC Milan to win: @1.27
Draw: @5
Lecce to win: @13
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875



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Lecce
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