Our AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction: 2-1
AC Milan vs Lecce in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 18, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
Our prediction is supported by key AC Milan vs Lecce stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
AC Milan's Last Match – Como vs AC Milan
AC Milan will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Italy Serie A win against Como on January 15. In that match, AC Milan had 32% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Como | 68% | 16 (7) | 1.78 | 66 |
 AC Milan | 32% | 7 (4) | 1.28 | 18 |
Lecce's Last Match – Inter Milan vs Lecce
Lecce will look to get back on track following a 0-1 Italy Serie A loss against Inter Milan on January 14. In that match, Lecce recorded 32% possession, attempting 3 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Inter Milan | 68% | 15 (7) | 1.78 | 68 |
 Lecce | 32% | 3 (1) | 0.48 | 26 |
AC Milan vs Lecce Stats
Key Stats
| AC Milan | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.31 | Attacking Strength | 0.63 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 1.06 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 0.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AC Milan are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Lecce average 0.5 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
AC Milan 15-10
Lecce 5-14
What are the odds for this match?
AC Milan to win: @1.285
Draw: @5
Lecce to win: @13
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
Lineups
AC Milan (3-5-2) : Mike Maignan, Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Koni De Winter, Alexis Saelemaekers, Samuele Ricci, Ardon Jashari, Adrien Rabiot, Pervis Estupinan, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao
Lecce (4-3-3) : Wladimiro Falcone, Corrie Ndaba, Jamil Siebert, Tiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo, Omri Gandelman, Ylber Ramadani, Lassana Coulibaly, Riccardo Sottil, Nikola Stulic, Santiago Pierotti