Our AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction: 3-1
AC Milan vs Lecce in the Coppa Italia is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday September 23, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
Our prediction is supported by key AC Milan vs Lecce stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
AC Milan's Last Match – Udinese vs AC Milan
AC Milan will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-0 Italy Serie A victory over Udinese on September 20. In that match, AC Milan recorded 60% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Udinese | 40% | 7 (4) | 0.35 | 47 |
 AC Milan | 60% | 12 (6) | 1.25 | 42 |
Lecce's Last Match – Lecce vs Cagliari
Lecce will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Italy Serie A loss against Cagliari on September 19. In that match, Lecce recorded 52% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lecce | 52% | 9 (5) | 0.98 | 44 |
 Cagliari | 48% | 11 (6) | 2.23 | 42 |
AC Milan vs Lecce Stats
Key Stats
| AC Milan | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | Attacking Strength | 1.43 |
| 0.71 | Defence Strength | 1.27 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AC Milan are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Lecce average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
AC Milan 24-10
Lecce 11-14
What are the odds for this match?
AC Milan to win: @1.27
Draw: @5.25
Lecce to win: @12
Lineups
AC Milan: Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Strahinja Pavlovic, Samuele Ricci, Santiago Gimenez, Koni De Winter, Christopher Nkunku, Fikayo Tomori, Davide Bartesaghi, Adrien Rabiot, Mike Maignan, Alexis Saelemaekers
Lecce: Christian Fruchtl, Tete Morente, Medon Berisha, Mohamed Kaba, Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga, Thorir Johann Helgason, Jamil Siebert, Corrie Ndaba, Konan N’Dri, Francesco Camarda, Tiago Gabriel