Our Inter Milan vs Lecce Prediction: 3-1
Inter Milan vs Lecce in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 14, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
Our prediction is supported by key Inter Milan vs Lecce stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Inter Milan's Last Match – Inter Milan vs Napoli
Inter Milan will seek to go one better this time following a 2-2 Italy Serie A share of the spoils with Napoli on January 11. In that match, Inter Milan saw 50% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Inter Milan | 50% | 9 (4) | 1.45 | 47 |
 Napoli | 50% | 5 (3) | 0.73 | 25 |
Lecce's Last Match – Lecce vs Parma
Lecce will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Italy Serie A loss against Parma on January 11. In that match, Lecce controlled 41% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lecce | 41% | 6 (1) | 0.87 | 29 |
 Parma | 59% | 7 (2) | 1.11 | 52 |
Inter Milan vs Lecce Stats
Key Stats
| Inter Milan | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.13 | Attacking Strength | 0.72 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.06 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 0.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Inter Milan are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Lecce average 0.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Inter Milan 22-7
Lecce 6-13
What are the odds for this match?
Inter Milan to win: @1.125
Draw: @9
Lecce to win: @21
Lineups
Inter Milan (3-5-2) : Yann Sommer, Manuel Akanji, Francesco Acerbi, Alessandro Bastoni, Andy Diouf, Nicolo Barella, Piotr Zielinski, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Carlos Augusto, Ange Bonny, Marcus Thuram
Lecce (4-2-3-1) : Wladimiro Falcone, Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga, Jamil Siebert, Tiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo, Lassana Coulibaly, Youssef Maleh, Santiago Pierotti, Omri Gandelman, Riccardo Sottil, Nikola Stulic