Our Inter Milan vs Lecce Prediction: 3-1
Inter Milan vs Lecce in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 14, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
Our prediction is supported by key Inter Milan vs Lecce stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Inter Milan's Last Match – Parma vs Inter Milan
Inter Milan will hope to extend their good run following a 2-0 Italy Serie A win against Parma on January 7. In that match, Inter Milan saw 63% of the ball and created 15 goal attempts, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Parma | 37% | 3 (0) | 0.32 | 28 |
 Inter Milan | 63% | 15 (8) | 2.45 | 89 |
Lecce's Last Match – Lecce vs Roma
Lecce will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Italy Serie A loss against Roma on January 6. In that match, Lecce controlled 51% of possession and managed 2 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lecce | 51% | 2 (1) | 0.5 | 47 |
 Roma | 49% | 5 (3) | 1.88 | 49 |
Inter Milan vs Lecce Stats
Key Stats
| Inter Milan | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | Attacking Strength | 0.7 |
| 0.7 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 0.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Inter Milan are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Lecce average 0.5 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.