Our Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction: 2-1
Cagliari vs Lecce in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Monday February 16, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Cagliari's Last Match – Roma vs Cagliari
Cagliari will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 Italy Serie A defeat against Roma on February 9. In that match, Cagliari recorded 48% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Roma | 52% | 11 (5) | 1.33 | 58 |
 Cagliari | 48% | 4 (1) | 0.34 | 9 |
Lecce's Last Match – Lecce vs Udinese
Determined to maintain their recent success, Lecce must win following their 2-1 Italy Serie A victory against Udinese on February 8. In that match, Lecce recorded 53% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lecce | 53% | 8 (5) | 1.64 | 53 |
 Udinese | 47% | 5 (1) | 0.88 | 28 |
Cagliari vs Lecce Stats
Key Stats
| Cagliari | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | Attacking Strength | 0.51 |
| 1.01 | Defence Strength | 1.19 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Cagliari are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Lecce average 0.5 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Cagliari 14-14
Lecce 5-12
What are the odds for this match?
Cagliari to win: @2.2
Draw: @3
Lecce to win: @3.75
Lineups
Cagliari (4-4-2) : Elia Caprile, Gabriele Zappa, Yerry Mina, Ze Pedro, Adam Obert, Marco Palestra, Michel Adopo, Sulemana, Riyad Idrissi, Sebastiano Esposito, Leonardo Pavoletti
Lecce (4-3-3) : Wladimiro Falcone, Danilo Veiga, Kialonda Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo, Lassana Coulibaly, Ylber Ramadani, Omri Gandelman, Santiago Pierotti, Walid Cheddira, Riccardo Sottil