Our Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction: 2-1
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 08:35 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 17, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Adelaide United's Last Match – Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-4 Australia A-League defeat at the hands of Central Coast Mariners on January 4. In that match, Adelaide United had 70% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adelaide United | 70% | 13 (6) | 1.85 | 70 |
 Central Coast Mariners | 30% | 12 (6) | 2.43 | 30 |
Melbourne Victory's Last Match – Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Australia A-League loss to Western Sydney Wanderers on January 10. In that match, Melbourne Victory recorded 51% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Melbourne Victory | 51% | 12 (3) | 0.76 | 33 |
 Western Sydney Wanderers | 49% | 7 (4) | 1.38 | 7 |
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Stats
Key Stats
| Adelaide United | Melbourne Victory | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | Attacking Strength | 0.74 |
| 1.34 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Adelaide United are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Melbourne Victory average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Adelaide United 14-16
Melbourne Victory 13-11
What are the odds for this match?
Adelaide United to win: @3
Draw: @3.7
Melbourne Victory to win: @2.15
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