Our Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Prediction: 1-0
Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 08:35 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. A hard-fought battle awaits, but Melbourne City is likely to edge past Melbourne Victory with a narrow 1-0 scoreline.
This Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Melbourne City's Last Match – Melbourne City vs Gangwon FC
Melbourne City will seek to go one better this time following a 0-0 AFC Champions League Elite share of the spoils with Gangwon FC on February 18. In that match, Melbourne City had 49% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Melbourne City | 49% | 10 (5) | 1.21 | 28 |
 Gangwon FC | 51% | 7 (1) | 0.38 | 41 |
Melbourne Victory's Last Match – Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Australia A-League draw against Brisbane Roar on February 14. In that match, Melbourne Victory saw 63% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Melbourne Victory | 63% | 10 (3) | 1.09 | 48 |
 Brisbane Roar | 37% | 7 (3) | 0.64 | 23 |
Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Stats
Key Stats
| Melbourne City | Melbourne Victory | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.68 | Attacking Strength | 0.6 |
| 0.53 | Defence Strength | 0.93 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Melbourne City are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Melbourne Victory average 2.0 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Melbourne City 11-15
Melbourne Victory 20-11
What are the odds for this match?
Melbourne City to win: @2.75
Draw: @3.5
Melbourne Victory to win: @2.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
Lineups
Melbourne City (4-1-2-1-2) : Patrick Beach, Nathaniel Atkinson, Harrison Delbridge, German Ferreyra, Aziz Behich, Ryan Teague, Marcus Younis, Daniel Arzani, Alessandro Lopane, Max Caputo, Medin Memeti
Melbourne Victory (4-2-3-1) : Jack Warshawsky, Joshua James Rawlins, Sebastian Esposito, Roderick Miranda, Jason Davidson, Jordi Valadon, Denis Genreau, Nishan Velupillay, Juan Mata, Keegan Jelacic, Charles Nduka
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Melbourne Victory 
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Central Coast Mariners 
Melbourne City 
Brisbane Roar 
Perth Glory 
Wellington Phoenix 
Western Sydney Wanderers