Our Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Prediction: 1-1
Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 06:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Melbourne Victory's Last Match – Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-2 Australia A-League victory over Wellington Phoenix in their last outing. In that match, Melbourne Victory controlled 43% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wellington Phoenix | 57% | 4 (3) | 0.72 | 32 |
 Melbourne Victory | 43% | 8 (6) | 1.08 | 45 |
Brisbane Roar's Last Match – Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Australia A-League defeat against Central Coast Mariners on February 7 and regain momentum. In that match, Brisbane Roar recorded 42% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brisbane Roar | 42% | 8 (2) | 0.67 | 38 |
 Central Coast Mariners | 58% | 4 (2) | 0.47 | 23 |
Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Stats
Key Stats
| Melbourne Victory | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 0.74 |
| 0.74 | Defence Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Melbourne Victory are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Brisbane Roar average 0.9 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Melbourne Victory 19-10
Brisbane Roar 9-19
What are the odds for this match?
Melbourne Victory to win: @1.727
Draw: @3.8
Brisbane Roar to win: @4.75
Lineups
Melbourne Victory (4-2-3-1) : Jack Warshawsky, Joshua James Rawlins, Sebastian Esposito, Roderick Miranda, Jason Davidson, Denis Genreau, Jordi Valadon, Keegan Jelacic, Juan Mata, Nishan Velupillay, Charles Nduka
Brisbane Roar (4-4-2) : Dean Bouzanis, Youstin Salas, Marius Lode, Dimitri Valkanis, James McGarry, Chris Long, Samuel Klein, James Durrington, Matthew Dench, Nick D'Agostino, Michael Ruhs
Newcastle Jets 
Auckland FC 
Adelaide United 
Sydney FC 
Macarthur FC 
Melbourne Victory 
Melbourne City 
Brisbane Roar 
Perth Glory 
Wellington Phoenix 
Central Coast Mariners 
Western Sydney Wanderers