Our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction: 1-1
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 06:00 GMT kick-off on Friday February 6, 2026. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
This Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Wellington Phoenix's Last Match – Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 2-2 Australia A-League draw against Melbourne City on January 30. In that match, Wellington Phoenix had 46% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Wellington Phoenix | 46% | 6 (6) | 1.88 | 20 |
Melbourne City | 54% | 6 (4) | 1.85 | 39 |
Melbourne Victory's Last Match – Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 Australia A-League defeat at the hands of Central Coast Mariners on February 1. In that match, Melbourne Victory recorded 67% possession, attempting 18 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Central Coast Mariners | 33% | 5 (1) | 0.53 | 24 |
Melbourne Victory | 67% | 18 (9) | 2.49 | 80 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Stats
Key Stats
| Wellington Phoenix | Melbourne Victory | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 1.21 | Defence Strength | 0.83 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Wellington Phoenix are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Melbourne Victory average 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.



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