Our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction: 1-1
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 05:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 12, 2025. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
This Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Wellington Phoenix's Last Match – Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 Australia A-League win against Newcastle Jets on April 6. In that match, Wellington Phoenix had 33% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle Jets | 67% | 10 (5) | 2.14 | 61 |
 Wellington Phoenix | 33% | 10 (7) | 1.52 | 28 |
Melbourne Victory's Last Match – Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory will want to continue their winning form after a 5-3 Australia A-League victory over Adelaide United, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Melbourne Victory recorded 57% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Melbourne Victory | 57% | 10 (8) | 3.67 | 35 |
 Adelaide United | 43% | 6 (4) | 2.05 | 34 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Stats
Key Stats
| Wellington Phoenix | Melbourne Victory | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.46 | Attacking Strength | 0.84 |
| 0.71 | Defence Strength | 0.97 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Wellington Phoenix are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Melbourne Victory average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Wellington Phoenix 10-18
Melbourne Victory 20-16
What are the odds for this match?
Wellington Phoenix to win: @5
Draw: @4
Melbourne Victory to win: @1.65
Lineups
Wellington Phoenix (3-4-2-1) : Joshua Oluwayemi, Corban Piper, Scott Wootton, Isaac Hughes, Tim Payne, Alex Rufer, Matt Sheridan, Sam Sutton, Hideki Ishige, Kazuki Nagasawa, Kosta Barbarouses
Melbourne Victory (4-2-3-1) : Mitchell James Langerak, Joshua James Rawlins, Roderick Miranda, Lachlan Jackson, Kasey Bos, Ryan Teague, Jordi Valadon, Nishan Velupillay, Zinedine Machach, Daniel Arzani, Nikos Vergos
Sydney FC 
Auckland FC 
Adelaide United 
Melbourne City 
Brisbane Roar 
Central Coast Mariners 
Macarthur FC 
Wellington Phoenix 
Western Sydney Wanderers 
Melbourne Victory 
Newcastle Jets 
Perth Glory