Our Ajax vs Benfica Prediction: 1-2
Ajax vs Benfica in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday November 25, 2025. A 1-2 result in favor of the away side is our top pick, yet with both teams creating chances, BTTS is a smart alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Ajax vs Benfica stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Ajax's Last Match – Ajax vs Excelsior
Ajax will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 Netherlands Eredivisie defeat against Excelsior on November 22. In that match, Ajax recorded 64% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ajax | 64% | 10 (6) | 1.29 | 98 |
 Excelsior | 36% | 7 (3) | 0.42 | 44 |
Benfica's Last Match – Atletico CP Lisbon vs Benfica
Benfica will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 Portugal Cup success over Atletico CP Lisbon on November 21. In that match, Benfica had 69% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico CP Lisbon | 31% | 7 (0) | - | 0 |
 Benfica | 69% | 9 (2) | - | 0 |
Ajax vs Benfica Stats
Key Stats
| Ajax | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | Attacking Strength | 0.93 |
| 1.29 | Defence Strength | 0.81 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 1/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Ajax are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per match, while Benfica average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Ajax 12-25
Benfica 17-7
What are the odds for this match?
Ajax to win: @4
Draw: @3.6
Benfica to win: @1.833
Lineups
Ajax (4-3-3) : Vitezslav Jaros, Youri Regeer, Youri Baas, Josip Sutalo, Owen Wijndal, Davy Klaassen, Kou Itakura, Kenneth Taylor, Rayane Bounida, Wout Weghorst, Mika Godts
Benfica (4-2-3-1) : Anatoliy Trubin, Amar Dedic, Antonio Silva, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Enzo Barrenechea, Richard Rios, Fredrik Aursnes, Leandro Barreiro, Georgiy Sudakov, Vangelis Pavlidis