Our Al Zawra'a vs FK Istiqlol Dushanbe Prediction: 3-1
Al Zawra'a vs FK Istiqlol Dushanbe in the AFC Champions League Two is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday November 5, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
Our prediction is supported by key Al Zawra'a vs FK Istiqlol Dushanbe stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Al Zawra'a's Last Match – Mosul FC vs Al Zawra'a
Al Zawra'a must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-1 Iraq Stars League victory over Mosul FC in their last outing. In that match, Al Zawra'a recorded 46% possession, firing 9 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mosul FC   | 54% | 0 (4) | - | 54 | 
  Al Zawra'a  | 46% | 0 (9) | - | 30 | 
FK Istiqlol Dushanbe's Last Match – FK Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Al Zawra'a
FK Istiqlol Dushanbe will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 AFC Champions League Two victory over Al Zawra'a on October 22. In that match, FK Istiqlol Dushanbe saw 46% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
  FK Istiqlol Dushanbe  | 46% | 6 (2) | 1.42 | 51 | 
  Al Zawra'a  | 54% | 15 (9) | 0.51 | 51 | 
Al Zawra'a vs FK Istiqlol Dushanbe Stats
Key Stats
| Al Zawra'a | FK Istiqlol Dushanbe | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | Attacking Strength | 0.52 | 
| 1.1 | Defence Strength | 1.47 | 
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.9 | 
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 | 
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 | 
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 | 
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 | 
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 | 
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.9 | 
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Al Zawra'a are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while FK Istiqlol Dushanbe average 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.



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