Our Alianza vs Independiente Medellin Prediction: 1-1
Alianza vs Independiente Medellin in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 21:10 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 19, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
Our prediction is supported by key Alianza vs Independiente Medellin stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Alianza's Last Match – Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza
Alianza must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Colombia Primera A defeat against Internacional de Bogota on April 13. In that match, Alianza controlled 38% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Internacional de Bogota | 62% | 11 (7) | 0.87 | 44 |
Alianza | 38% | 8 (3) | 0.95 | 18 |
Independiente Medellin's Last Match – Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
Independiente Medellin will look to get back on track following a 2-3 Colombia Primera A loss against Atletico Nacional Medellin on April 12. In that match, Independiente Medellin recorded 40% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Independiente Medellin | 40% | 11 (7) | 0.42 | 26 |
 Atletico Nacional Medellin | 60% | 14 (8) | 1.73 | 31 |
Alianza vs Independiente Medellin Stats
Key Stats
| Alianza | Independiente Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.61 | Attacking Strength | 1.2 |
| 0.7 | Defence Strength | 1.02 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Alianza are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Independiente Medellin average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Alianza 8-13
Independiente Medellin 15-13
What are the odds for this match?
Alianza to win: @3.1
Draw: @3.1
Independiente Medellin to win: @2.25