Our Casa Pia vs Arouca Prediction: 2-2
Casa Pia vs Arouca in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. Our forecast favors a 2-2 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Casa Pia's Last Match – Nacional vs Casa Pia
Casa Pia will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 0-0 Portugal Primeira Liga draw with Nacional on February 8. In that match, Casa Pia recorded 32% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nacional | 68% | 16 (5) | 0.97 | 38 |
 Casa Pia | 32% | 6 (4) | 0.64 | 33 |
Arouca's Last Match – Arouca vs Guimaraes
Arouca will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-2 Portugal Primeira Liga victory over Guimaraes on February 7. In that match, Arouca had 51% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arouca | 51% | 9 (6) | 1.71 | 25 |
 Guimaraes | 49% | 10 (6) | 1.67 | 54 |
Casa Pia vs Arouca Stats
Key Stats
| Casa Pia | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | Attacking Strength | 0.97 |
| 1.54 | Defence Strength | 1.59 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Casa Pia are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Arouca average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Casa Pia 10-15
Arouca 13-16
What are the odds for this match?
Casa Pia to win: @2.7
Draw: @3.2
Arouca to win: @2.6
Lineups
Casa Pia (3-4-3) : Patrick Sequeira, David Sousa, Joao Goulart, Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira, Gaizka Larrazabal, Lawrence Ofori, Rafael Brito, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Korede Osundina
Arouca (4-2-3-1) : Ignacio De Arruabarrena, Tiago Esgaio, Bas Kuipers, Javi Sanchez, Jose Fontán, Espen Van Ee, Taichi Fukui, Alfonso Trezza, Hyun-ju Lee, Nais Djouahra, Barbero