Our Arouca vs Casa Pia Prediction: 2-1
Arouca vs Casa Pia in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 17:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 14, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Arouca vs Casa Pia stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Arouca's Last Match – Guimaraes vs Arouca
Arouca must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Portugal Primeira Liga draw against Guimaraes on August 30. In that match, Arouca controlled 46% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Guimaraes | 54% | 7 (4) | 0.33 | 30 |
 Arouca | 46% | 8 (3) | 0.43 | 20 |
Casa Pia's Last Match – Casa Pia vs Nacional
Casa Pia must win to recover from their recent 0-2 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Nacional on August 30 and regain momentum. In that match, Casa Pia saw 62% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Casa Pia | 62% | 8 (3) | 0.65 | 40 |
 Nacional | 38% | 5 (2) | 1.21 | 27 |
Arouca vs Casa Pia Stats
Key Stats
| Arouca | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 1.09 | Defence Strength | 1.13 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Arouca are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Casa Pia average 0.7 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Arouca 15-17
Casa Pia 7-16
What are the odds for this match?
Arouca to win: @2
Draw: @3.3
Casa Pia to win: @4
Lineups
Arouca (4-2-3-1) : Joao Valido, Tiago Esgaio, Jose Fontán, Matias Rocha, Amadou Dante, Taichi Fukui, Pedro Santos, Alfonso Trezza, Pablo Gozalbez, Nais Djouahra, Dylan Nandin
Casa Pia (3-4-3) : Patrick Sequeira, Andre Geraldes, Jose Fonte, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Renato Nhaga, Sebastian Perez, Fahem Benaissa-Yahia, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Tiago Morais
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Gil Vicente 
Famalicao 
Moreirense 
Braga 
Guimaraes 
Estoril 
Nacional 
Rio Ave 
Santa Clara 
Estrela 
Alverca 
Casa Pia 
Arouca 
Tondela