Our Guimaraes vs Arouca Prediction: 2-1
Guimaraes vs Arouca in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 17:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday August 30, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Guimaraes vs Arouca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Guimaraes's Last Match – Moreirense vs Guimaraes
Guimaraes will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-2 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat at the hands of Moreirense on August 23. In that match, Guimaraes recorded 52% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Moreirense | 48% | 7 (4) | 1.47 | 34 |
Guimaraes | 52% | 5 (5) | 0.26 | 52 |
Arouca's Last Match – Arouca vs Rio Ave
Arouca will look to build on their last result following a 3-3 Portugal Primeira Liga stalemate against Rio Ave on August 23. In that match, Arouca controlled 55% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Arouca | 55% | 11 (5) | 0.7 | 27 |
Rio Ave | 45% | 12 (5) | 1.57 | 27 |
Guimaraes vs Arouca Stats
Key Stats
| Guimaraes | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.78 | Defence Strength | 1.34 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Guimaraes are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Arouca average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Guimaraes 20-13
Arouca 15-18
Lineups
Guimaraes (4-2-3-1) : Charles, Maga, Oscar Rivas Viondi, Rodrigo Abascal, Joao Mendes, Goncalo Nogueira, Beni Mukendi, Arcanjo, Miguel Nogueira, Gustavo Silva, Nelson Oliveira
Arouca (4-2-3-1) : Joao Valido, Tiago Esgaio, Jose Fontán, Matias Rocha, Amadou Dante, Taichi Fukui, David Simao, Alfonso Trezza, Hyun-ju Lee, Nais Djouahra, Dylan Nandin



Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Rio Ave
FC Porto
Sporting
Benfica
Gil Vicente
Famalicao
Moreirense
Braga
Guimaraes
Estoril
Nacional
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Estrela
Alverca
Casa Pia
Arouca
Tondela