Our Arouca vs Estrela Prediction: 2-2
Arouca vs Estrela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 19, 2026. A 2-2 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Arouca vs Estrela stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Arouca's Last Match – Braga vs Arouca
Arouca must win to recover from their recent 0-1 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Braga on April 12 and regain momentum. In that match, Arouca had 38% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Braga | 62% | 4 (3) | 0.88 | 30 |
 Arouca | 38% | 7 (1) | 1.1 | 24 |
Estrela's Last Match – Estrela vs Sporting
Estrela will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 Portugal Primeira Liga setback against Sporting on April 11. In that match, Estrela saw 33% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Estrela | 33% | 6 (2) | 0.37 | 27 |
 Sporting | 67% | 3 (1) | 0.66 | 66 |
Arouca vs Estrela Stats
Key Stats
| Arouca | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.99 | Attacking Strength | 0.99 |
| 1.4 | Defence Strength | 1.52 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Arouca are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Estrela average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Arouca 17-14
Estrela 10-12
What are the odds for this match?
Arouca to win: @2
Draw: @3.3
Estrela to win: @3.7
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925