Our Estrela vs Sporting Prediction: 1-3
Estrela vs Sporting in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 11, 2026. We predict a 1-3 away victory, but with both teams capable of scoring, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key Estrela vs Sporting stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Estrela's Last Match – Nacional vs Estrela
Estrela will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Nacional on April 4. In that match, Estrela recorded 52% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nacional | 48% | 9 (4) | 0.93 | 35 |
 Estrela | 52% | 6 (2) | 0.48 | 30 |
Sporting's Last Match – Sporting vs Arsenal
Sporting will look to get back on track following a 0-1 UEFA Champions League loss against Arsenal on April 7. In that match, Sporting recorded 44% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting | 44% | 6 (5) | 0.84 | 25 |
 Arsenal | 56% | 8 (4) | 0.78 | 52 |
Estrela vs Sporting Stats
Key Stats
| Estrela | Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.99 | Attacking Strength | 1.89 |
| 1.32 | Defence Strength | 0.59 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Estrela are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Sporting average 2.3 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Estrela 10-15
Sporting 23-9
What are the odds for this match?
Estrela to win: @12
Draw: @6
Sporting to win: @1.222
Lineups
Estrela (4-3-3) : Renan Ribeiro, Max Scholze, Stefan Lekovic, Bernardo Schappo, Bruno Langa, Eddy Doue, Kevin Hoog Jansson, Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho, Abraham Marcus, Rodrigo Pinho, Ianis Stoica
Sporting (4-2-3-1) : Rui Silva, Ivan Fresneda, Quaresma, Zeno Debast, Maxi Araujo, Morten Hjulmand, Daniel Braganca, Geny Catamo, Francisco Trincao, Pedro Goncalves, Luis Suarez