Our Nacional vs Estrela Prediction: 2-1
Nacional vs Estrela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 4, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Nacional vs Estrela prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nacional's Last Match – Famalicao vs Nacional
Nacional will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Famalicao on March 21. In that match, Nacional recorded 46% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Famalicao | 54% | 8 (1) | 1.73 | 41 |
 Nacional | 46% | 9 (4) | 0.38 | 42 |
Estrela's Last Match – Estrela vs Casa Pia
Estrela will look to carry forward their winning form after a 4-0 Portugal Primeira Liga success over Casa Pia on March 20. In that match, Estrela recorded 53% possession, firing 20 shots at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Estrela | 53% | 20 (8) | 4.44 | 39 |
 Casa Pia | 47% | 9 (2) | 0.64 | 23 |
Nacional vs Estrela Stats
Key Stats
| Nacional | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | Attacking Strength | 0.98 |
| 1.07 | Defence Strength | 1.57 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nacional are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Estrela average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Nacional 8-13
Estrela 10-18
What are the odds for this match?
Nacional to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.3
Estrela to win: @3.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925
Lineups
Nacional (4-3-3) : Kaique Pereira, Alan Nunez, Leo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Manuel Mendes Gomes, Liziero, Miguel Baeza, Chiheb Labidi, Gabriel Veron, Jesus . Ramirez, Paulinho Boia
Estrela (4-3-3) : Renan Ribeiro, Max Scholze, Luan Patrick, Bernardo Schappo, Bruno Langa, Eddy Doue, Alex Sola, Kevin Hoog Jansson, Abraham Marcus, Rodrigo Pinho, Ianis Stoica