Our Famalicao vs Arouca Prediction: 3-1
Famalicao vs Arouca in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 20:15 GMT kick-off on Friday March 6, 2026. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
Our prediction comes from detailed stats and betting data — scroll down for team performance trends and recent form insights.
→ View Today's Final Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Famalicao's Last Match – Rio Ave vs Famalicao
Famalicao will be determined to find a winning touch after a 0-0 Portugal Primeira Liga draw against Rio Ave on March 1. In that match, Famalicao recorded 54% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rio Ave | 46% | 9 (3) | 0.98 | 40 |
 Famalicao | 54% | 6 (3) | 0.85 | 47 |
Arouca's Last Match – FC Porto vs Arouca
Arouca will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-3 Portugal Primeira Liga loss to FC Porto on February 27. In that match, Arouca controlled 43% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Porto | 57% | 11 (8) | 2.52 | 50 |
 Arouca | 43% | 4 (1) | 0.24 | 13 |
Famalicao vs Arouca Stats
Key Stats
| Famalicao | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Attacking Strength | 1.12 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.49 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Famalicao are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Arouca average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Famalicao 11-12
Arouca 17-15
What are the odds for this match?
Famalicao to win: @1.8
Draw: @3.5
Arouca to win: @4.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975
Lineups
Famalicao (4-3-3) : Lazar Carevic, Rodrigo Pinheiro Ferreira, Ibrahima Ba, Justin De Haas, Rafa Soares, Marcos Pena, Gustavo Sa, Mathias De Amorim, Gil Dias, Simon Elisor, Antoine Joujou
Arouca (4-2-3-1) : Ignacio De Arruabarrena, Diogo Monteiro, Boris Popovic, Jose Fontán, Bas Kuipers, Taichi Fukui, Espen Van Ee, Alfonso Trezza, Hyun-ju Lee, Nais Djouahra, Barbero
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Braga 
Famalicao 
Gil Vicente 
Estoril 
Moreirense 
Guimaraes 
Arouca 
Alverca 
Rio Ave 
Estrela 
Santa Clara 
Nacional 
Casa Pia 
Tondela 
AVS