Our Arouca vs FC Porto Prediction: 1-2
Arouca vs FC Porto in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Monday September 29, 2025. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our main prediction, but with both teams expected to find the net, BTTS is another solid wager.
Our prediction is supported by key Arouca vs FC Porto stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Arouca's Last Match – Nacional vs Arouca
Arouca will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 Portugal Primeira Liga win against Nacional on September 20. In that match, Arouca recorded 42% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nacional | 58% | 13 (5) | 2.42 | 58 |
 Arouca | 42% | 7 (3) | 1.11 | 31 |
FC Porto's Last Match – FC Salzburg vs FC Porto
FC Porto will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 UEFA Europa League success over FC Salzburg on September 25. In that match, FC Porto controlled 57% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Salzburg | 43% | 9 (3) | 1.26 | 24 |
 FC Porto | 57% | 7 (4) | 1.4 | 33 |
Arouca vs FC Porto Stats
Key Stats
| Arouca | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | Attacking Strength | 1.25 |
| 1.17 | Defence Strength | 0.42 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 9/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Arouca are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while FC Porto average 2.3 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Arouca 14-18
FC Porto 23-6
What are the odds for this match?
Arouca to win: @8
Draw: @5
FC Porto to win: @1.363
Lineups
Arouca (4-2-3-1) : Joao Valido, Tiago Esgaio, Matias Rocha, Boris Popovic, Arnau Sola, Taichi Fukui, David Simao, Alfonso Trezza, Pablo Gozalbez, Nais Djouahra, Barbero
FC Porto (4-3-3) : Diogo Costa, Martim Fernandes, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Francisco Moura, Victor Mow Froholdt, Alan Varela, Gabriel Veiga, Pepe, Samuel Aghehowa, Borja Sainz
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Gil Vicente 
Braga 
Guimaraes 
Moreirense 
Famalicao 
Estoril 
Rio Ave 
Alverca 
Estrela 
Nacional 
Santa Clara 
Casa Pia 
Arouca 
Tondela