Our Nacional vs Arouca Prediction: 2-2
Nacional vs Arouca in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 20, 2025. A 2-2 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
This Nacional vs Arouca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nacional's Last Match – FC Porto vs Nacional
Nacional will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat at the hands of FC Porto on September 13. In that match, Nacional had 31% possession and 3 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Porto | 69% | 8 (6) | 1.87 | 69 |
 Nacional | 31% | 3 (1) | 0.07 | 21 |
Arouca's Last Match – Arouca vs Casa Pia
Arouca will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 Portugal Primeira Liga loss to Casa Pia on September 14. In that match, Arouca saw 66% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arouca | 66% | 8 (2) | 0.29 | 50 |
 Casa Pia | 34% | 7 (4) | 1.48 | 36 |
Nacional vs Arouca Stats
Key Stats
| Nacional | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.91 | Attacking Strength | 1.02 |
| 1.78 | Defence Strength | 1.33 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nacional are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Arouca average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Nacional 8-21
Arouca 13-17
What are the odds for this match?
Nacional to win: @2.5
Draw: @3.1
Arouca to win: @2.9
Lineups
Nacional (4-3-3) : Lucas Oliveira de Franca, Joao Aurelio, Leo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Manuel Mendes Gomes, Chiheb Labidi, Matheus Dias, Liziero, Paulinho Boia, Jesus . Ramirez, Pablo Ruan Messias Cardozo
Arouca (4-2-3-1) : Joao Valido, Tiago Esgaio, Jose Fontán, Boris Popovic, Amadou Dante, Taichi Fukui, David Simao, Alfonso Trezza, Hyun-ju Lee, Nais Djouahra, Dylan Nandin
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Gil Vicente 
Braga 
Guimaraes 
Moreirense 
Famalicao 
Estoril 
Rio Ave 
Alverca 
Estrela 
Nacional 
Santa Clara 
Casa Pia 
Arouca 
Tondela