Our Arouca vs Sporting Prediction: 1-3
Arouca vs Sporting in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 24, 2026. A 1-3 win for the visitors is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals seems like a solid bet given both teams' attacking form.
Our prediction is supported by key Arouca vs Sporting stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Arouca's Last Match – Tondela vs Arouca
After suffering a 1-3 Portugal Primeira Liga loss to Tondela, Arouca must win to get back on track. In that match, Arouca saw 71% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tondela | 29% | 4 (4) | 0.67 | 23 |
 Arouca | 71% | 6 (5) | 0.73 | 60 |
Sporting's Last Match – Sporting vs Guimaraes
Sporting must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Portugal League Cup defeat against Guimaraes on January 6. In that match, Sporting recorded 54% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 10 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting | 54% | 8 (10) | 1.92 | 36 |
 Guimaraes | 46% | 8 (3) | 1.6 | 53 |
Arouca vs Sporting Stats
Key Stats
| Arouca | Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Attacking Strength | 1.72 |
| 1.63 | Defence Strength | 0.5 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 2.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Arouca are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per match, while Sporting average 2.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Gil Vicente 
Braga 
Guimaraes 
Moreirense 
Famalicao 
Estoril 
Rio Ave 
Alverca 
Estrela 
Nacional 
Santa Clara 
Casa Pia 
Arouca 
Tondela