Our Arouca vs Sporting Prediction: 1-3
Arouca vs Sporting in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 24, 2026. A 1-3 win for the visitors is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals seems like a solid bet given both teams' attacking form.
Our prediction is supported by key Arouca vs Sporting stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Arouca's Last Match – AVS vs Arouca
Arouca will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Portugal Primeira Liga victory over AVS, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Arouca saw 64% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AVS | 36% | 7 (3) | 0.6 | 28 |
 Arouca | 64% | 12 (4) | 1.14 | 86 |
Sporting's Last Match – Sporting vs PSG
Sporting must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 UEFA Champions League victory over PSG in their last outing. In that match, Sporting recorded 25% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting | 25% | 7 (4) | 0.82 | 19 |
 PSG | 75% | 14 (6) | 1.24 | 99 |
Arouca vs Sporting Stats
Key Stats
| Arouca | Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | Attacking Strength | 1.71 |
| 1.63 | Defence Strength | 0.5 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 2.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Arouca are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Sporting average 2.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.