Our Tondela vs Arouca Prediction: 1-1
Tondela vs Arouca in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 3, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tondela's Last Match – Tondela vs Casa Pia
Tondela must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Casa Pia on December 21 and regain momentum. In that match, Tondela controlled 46% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tondela | 46% | 9 (4) | 1.74 | 35 |
 Casa Pia | 54% | 9 (3) | 1.14 | 36 |
Arouca's Last Match – Arouca vs Gil Vicente
Arouca will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 2-2 Portugal Primeira Liga draw with Gil Vicente on December 28. In that match, Arouca saw 46% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arouca | 46% | 6 (4) | 1.34 | 26 |
 Gil Vicente | 54% | 8 (5) | 1.88 | 49 |
Tondela vs Arouca Stats
Key Stats
| Tondela | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.38 | Defence Strength | 1.79 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tondela are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Arouca average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.
Tondela 10-17
Arouca 10-23
What are the odds for this match?
Tondela to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.3
Arouca to win: @3.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.05
Lineups
Tondela (4-2-3-1) : Bernardo Caltabiano Parise Fontes, Bebeto, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Emmanuel Maviram, Joe Hodge, Cicero, Tiago Manso, Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos, Ivan Cavaleiro, Jordan Siebatcheu
Arouca (4-3-3) : Nico Mantl, Tiago Esgaio, Matias Rocha, Boris Popovic, Jose Fontán, Pedro Santos, Espen Van Ee, Hyun-ju Lee, Alfonso Trezza, Barbero, Nais Djouahra