Our Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction: 1-1
Newcastle vs Arsenal in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 28, 2025. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
This Newcastle vs Arsenal prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Bradford
Newcastle will hope to extend their good run following a 4-1 England EFL Cup win against Bradford on September 24. In that match, Newcastle had 77% possession and 11 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 77% | 0 (11) | 4.38 | 80 |
 Bradford | 23% | 0 (3) | 0.35 | 26 |
Arsenal's Last Match – Port Vale vs Arsenal
Arsenal will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 England EFL Cup success over Port Vale on September 24. In that match, Arsenal controlled 80% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Port Vale | 20% | 0 (0) | 0.08 | 42 |
 Arsenal | 80% | 0 (4) | 0.93 | 70 |
Newcastle vs Arsenal Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 0.79 | Defence Strength | 0.41 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Arsenal average 1.9 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Newcastle 11-11
Arsenal 19-6
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @3.6
Draw: @3.4
Arsenal to win: @2.1
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.05
Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Nick Pope, Tino Livramento, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Dan Burn, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon
Arsenal (4-3-3) : David Raya, Jurrien Timber, Cristhian Mosquera, Gabriel Magalhaes, Riccardo Calafiori, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze, Leandro Trossard, Viktor Gyokeres
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