Our Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction: 2-1
Arsenal vs Newcastle in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 18, 2025. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
Our prediction is supported by key Arsenal vs Newcastle stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Arsenal's Last Match – Liverpool vs Arsenal
Arsenal will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 2-2 England Premier League draw with Liverpool on May 11. In that match, Arsenal recorded 56% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Liverpool | 44% | 13 (5) | 2.55 | 38 |
Arsenal | 56% | 10 (7) | 2.3 | 67 |
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Chelsea
Newcastle will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-0 England Premier League victory over Chelsea on May 11. In that match, Newcastle had 45% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Newcastle | 45% | 10 (6) | 1.89 | 58 |
Chelsea | 55% | 6 (3) | 0.62 | 51 |
Arsenal vs Newcastle Stats
Key Stats
| Arsenal | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | Attacking Strength | 1.2 |
| 0.78 | Defence Strength | 0.85 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2.5 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Arsenal are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Newcastle average 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Arsenal 17-12
Newcastle 24-8
What are the odds for this match?
Arsenal to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.7
Newcastle to win: @3.7
Lineups
Arsenal (4-3-3) : David Raya, Ben White, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior, Myles Lewis-Skelly, Martin Odegaard, Thomas Partey, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Leandro Trossard, Gabriel Martinelli
Newcastle (3-4-2-1) : Nick Pope, Fabian Schar, Sven Botman, Dan Burn, Jacob Murphy, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Tino Livramento, Harvey Barnes, Anthony Gordon, Callum Wilson