Our Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction: 3-1
Aston Villa vs Burnley in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
Our prediction is supported by key Aston Villa vs Burnley stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Aston Villa's Last Match – Feyenoord vs Aston Villa
Aston Villa will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 UEFA Europa League success over Feyenoord on October 2. In that match, Aston Villa saw 59% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Feyenoord | 41% | 16 (8) | 1.33 | 47 |
 Aston Villa | 59% | 4 (3) | 0.64 | 34 |
Burnley's Last Match – Man City vs Burnley
Burnley will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-5 England Premier League defeat at the hands of Man City on September 27. In that match, Burnley recorded 32% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man City | 68% | 11 (7) | 1.62 | 77 |
 Burnley | 32% | 4 (2) | 0.39 | 25 |
Aston Villa vs Burnley Stats
Key Stats
| Aston Villa | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | Attacking Strength | 0.93 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.58 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Aston Villa are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Burnley average 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Aston Villa 10-7
Burnley 9-18
What are the odds for this match?
Aston Villa to win: @1.6
Draw: @3.9
Burnley to win: @5.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975
Lineups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1) : Emiliano Martinez, Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Lamare Bogarde, Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Donyell Malen, Ollie Watkins
Burnley (5-4-1) : Martin Dubravka, Kyle Walker, Axel Tuanzebe, Josh Laurent, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman, Loum Tchaouna, Josh Cullen, Florentino Luis, Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster