Our Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction: 3-1
Aston Villa vs Burnley in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
Our prediction is supported by key Aston Villa vs Burnley stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Aston Villa's Last Match – Feyenoord vs Aston Villa
Aston Villa will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 UEFA Europa League success over Feyenoord on October 2. In that match, Aston Villa saw 59% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Feyenoord | 41% | 16 (8) | 1.33 | 47 |
 Aston Villa | 59% | 4 (3) | 0.64 | 34 |
Burnley's Last Match – Man City vs Burnley
Burnley will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-5 England Premier League defeat at the hands of Man City on September 27. In that match, Burnley recorded 32% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man City | 68% | 11 (7) | 1.62 | 77 |
 Burnley | 32% | 4 (2) | 0.39 | 25 |
Aston Villa vs Burnley Stats
Key Stats
| Aston Villa | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | Attacking Strength | 0.93 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.58 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Aston Villa are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Burnley average 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Aston Villa 10-7
Burnley 9-18
What are the odds for this match?
Aston Villa to win: @1.6
Draw: @3.9
Burnley to win: @5.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975
Lineups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1) : Emiliano Martinez, Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Lamare Bogarde, Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Donyell Malen, Ollie Watkins
Burnley (5-4-1) : Martin Dubravka, Kyle Walker, Axel Tuanzebe, Josh Laurent, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman, Loum Tchaouna, Josh Cullen, Florentino Luis, Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster
Arsenal 
Liverpool 
Tottenham 
Bournemouth 
Man City 
Crystal Palace 
Chelsea 
Everton 
Sunderland 
Man Utd 
Newcastle 
Brighton 
Aston Villa 
Fulham 
Leeds 
Brentford 
Nottm Forest 
Burnley 
West Ham 
Wolverhampton