Our Man City vs Burnley Prediction: 3-1
Man City vs Burnley in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 27, 2025. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Man City vs Burnley prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Man City's Last Match – Huddersfield vs Man City
Man City will hope to extend their good run following a 2-0 England EFL Cup win against Huddersfield on September 24. In that match, Man City had 76% possession and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Huddersfield | 24% | 0 (0) | 0.24 | 19 |
 Man City | 76% | 0 (7) | 1.14 | 102 |
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Cardiff
Burnley will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 England EFL Cup defeat against Cardiff on September 23. In that match, Burnley recorded 47% possession, firing 8 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 47% | 0 (8) | 0.9 | 33 |
 Cardiff | 53% | 0 (3) | 0.7 | 52 |
Man City vs Burnley Stats
Key Stats
| Man City | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.42 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Man City are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Burnley average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Man City 24-11
Burnley 10-16
What are the odds for this match?
Man City to win: @1.166
Draw: @7.5
Burnley to win: @15
Lineups
Man City (4-1-4-1) : Gianluigi Donnarumma, Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O'Reilly, Nicolas Gonzalez, Savinho, Tijani Reijnders, Phil Foden, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland
Burnley (5-4-1) : Martin Dubravka, Kyle Walker, Maxime Esteve, Hjalmar Ekdal, Josh Laurent, Quilindschy Hartman, Loum Tchaouna, Josh Cullen, Florentino Luis, Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster
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