Our Burnley vs Man City Prediction: 1-3
Burnley vs Man City in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday April 22, 2026. A 1-3 win for the visitors is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals seems like a solid bet given both teams' attacking form.
This Burnley vs Man City prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Brighton
Burnley will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-2 England Premier League defeat at the hands of Brighton on April 11. In that match, Burnley recorded 49% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 49% | 8 (5) | 0.9 | 40 |
 Brighton | 51% | 9 (6) | 1.9 | 48 |
Man City's Last Match – Chelsea vs Man City
Man City will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-0 England Premier League victory over Chelsea on April 12. In that match, Man City had 64% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 36% | 8 (3) | 1.14 | 35 |
 Man City | 64% | 12 (8) | 1.89 | 83 |
Burnley vs Man City Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | Man City | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | Attacking Strength | 1.51 |
| 1.51 | Defence Strength | 0.74 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Man City average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Burnley 9-21
Man City 19-10
What are the odds for this match?
Burnley to win: @11
Draw: @5.5
Man City to win: @1.25