Our Man City vs Chelsea Prediction: 2-1
Man City vs Chelsea in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 4, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Man City vs Chelsea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Man City's Last Match – Sunderland vs Man City
Man City will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 0-0 England Premier League draw with Sunderland on January 1. In that match, Man City recorded 68% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sunderland | 32% | 6 (4) | 0.8 | 49 |
 Man City | 68% | 9 (4) | 2.23 | 70 |
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Bournemouth
Chelsea will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 England Premier League stalemate against Bournemouth on December 30. In that match, Chelsea recorded 67% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 67% | 10 (3) | 2.08 | 110 |
 Bournemouth | 33% | 13 (6) | 2.8 | 56 |
Man City vs Chelsea Stats
Key Stats
| Man City | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | Attacking Strength | 1.48 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 0.66 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Man City are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Chelsea average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Man City 23-10
Chelsea 16-13
What are the odds for this match?
Man City to win: @1.65
Draw: @4.5
Chelsea to win: @4.5
Lineups
Man City (4-3-2-1) : Gianluigi Donnarumma, Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O'Reilly, Bernardo Silva, Rodri, Tijani Reijnders, Rayan Cherki, Phil Foden, Erling Haaland
Chelsea (4-2-3-1) : Filip Jorgensen, Josh-Ko Acheampong, Trevoh Chalobah, Benoit Badiashile, Malo Gusto, Reece James, Enzo Fernandez, Estevao, Cole Palmer, Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro
Arsenal 
Man City 
Aston Villa 
Liverpool 
Brentford 
Newcastle 
Man Utd 
Chelsea 
Fulham 
Sunderland 
Brighton 
Everton 
Crystal Palace 
Tottenham 
Bournemouth 
Leeds 
Nottm Forest 
West Ham 
Burnley 
Wolverhampton