Our Man City vs Chelsea Prediction: 2-1
Man City vs Chelsea in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 4, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Man City vs Chelsea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Man City's Last Match – Sunderland vs Man City
Man City will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 0-0 England Premier League draw with Sunderland on January 1. In that match, Man City recorded 68% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sunderland | 32% | 6 (4) | 0.8 | 49 |
 Man City | 68% | 9 (4) | 2.23 | 70 |
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Bournemouth
Chelsea will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 England Premier League stalemate against Bournemouth on December 30. In that match, Chelsea recorded 67% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 67% | 10 (3) | 2.08 | 110 |
 Bournemouth | 33% | 13 (6) | 2.8 | 56 |
Man City vs Chelsea Stats
Key Stats
| Man City | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | Attacking Strength | 1.48 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 0.66 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Man City are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Chelsea average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Man City 23-10
Chelsea 16-13
What are the odds for this match?
Man City to win: @1.65
Draw: @4.5
Chelsea to win: @4.5
Lineups
Man City (4-3-2-1) : Gianluigi Donnarumma, Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O'Reilly, Bernardo Silva, Rodri, Tijani Reijnders, Rayan Cherki, Phil Foden, Erling Haaland
Chelsea (4-2-3-1) : Filip Jorgensen, Josh-Ko Acheampong, Trevoh Chalobah, Benoit Badiashile, Malo Gusto, Reece James, Enzo Fernandez, Estevao, Cole Palmer, Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro
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