Our Man City vs Liverpool Prediction: 3-1
Man City vs Liverpool in the England FA Cup is scheduled for an 11:45 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 4, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This Man City vs Liverpool prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Man City's Last Match – Arsenal vs Man City
Man City will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 England EFL Cup success over Arsenal on March 22. In that match, Man City recorded 62% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arsenal | 38% | 5 (4) | 0.63 | 32 |
 Man City | 62% | 6 (2) | 1.6 | 54 |
Liverpool's Last Match – Brighton vs Liverpool
Liverpool will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 England Premier League defeat against Brighton on March 21. In that match, Liverpool had 54% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brighton | 46% | 11 (7) | 2.3 | 58 |
 Liverpool | 54% | 9 (5) | 1.02 | 50 |
Man City vs Liverpool Stats
Key Stats
| Man City | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.14 | Attacking Strength | 1.21 |
| 0.33 | Defence Strength | 0.79 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Man City are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Liverpool average 2.0 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Man City 17-10
Liverpool 20-9
What are the odds for this match?
Man City to win: @1.75
Draw: @4.1
Liverpool to win: @4