Our Burnley vs Brighton Prediction: 1-2
Burnley vs Brighton in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 11, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Burnley vs Brighton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Fulham vs Burnley
Burnley will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 England Premier League defeat against Fulham on March 21. In that match, Burnley controlled 45% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fulham | 55% | 15 (6) | 3.13 | 48 |
 Burnley | 45% | 6 (5) | 1.24 | 49 |
Brighton's Last Match – Brighton vs Liverpool
Brighton must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 England Premier League victory over Liverpool in their last outing. In that match, Brighton had 46% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brighton | 46% | 11 (7) | 2.3 | 58 |
 Liverpool | 54% | 9 (5) | 1.02 | 50 |
Burnley vs Brighton Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | Attacking Strength | 0.8 |
| 1.53 | Defence Strength | 0.67 |
| 0.6 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Brighton average 0.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Burnley 11-21
Brighton 9-11
What are the odds for this match?
Burnley to win: @4.5
Draw: @4
Brighton to win: @1.727
Lineups
Burnley (3-4-2-1) : Martin Dubravka, Bashir Humphreys, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman, James Ward Prowse, Florentino Luis, Marcus Edwards, Lesley Ugochukwu, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming
Brighton (4-2-3-1) : Bart Verbruggen, Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul Van Hecke, Olivier Boscagli, Ferdi Kadioglu, Yasin Ayari, Pascal Gross, Diego Gomez, Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh, Danny Welbeck