Our Brighton vs Burnley Prediction: 3-1
Brighton vs Burnley in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 3, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Brighton vs Burnley prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Brighton's Last Match – Arsenal vs Brighton
Brighton will hope to recover from their recent 1-2 England Premier League setback against Arsenal on December 27. In that match, Brighton recorded 47% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Arsenal | 53% | 10 (6) | 2.79 | 70 |
Brighton | 47% | 6 (3) | 0.79 | 28 |
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Everton
Burnley will seek to go one better this time following a 0-0 England Premier League share of the spoils with Everton on December 27. In that match, Burnley saw 55% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Burnley | 55% | 9 (0) | 1.65 | 59 |
Everton | 45% | 12 (6) | 0.88 | 43 |
Brighton vs Burnley Stats
Key Stats
| Brighton | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Attacking Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.07 | Defence Strength | 1.66 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 0.5 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Brighton are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Burnley average 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Brighton 12-12
Burnley 10-19
What are the odds for this match?
Brighton to win: @1.5
Draw: @3.9
Burnley to win: @6.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825



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