Our Brighton vs Burnley Prediction: 3-1
Brighton vs Burnley in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 3, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Brighton vs Burnley prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Brighton's Last Match – West Ham vs Brighton
Brighton will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 2-2 England Premier League draw with West Ham on December 30. In that match, Brighton recorded 61% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 West Ham | 39% | 6 (4) | 2.11 | 35 |
 Brighton | 61% | 12 (6) | 2.84 | 63 |
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Newcastle
Burnley will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-3 England Premier League defeat at the hands of Newcastle on December 30. In that match, Burnley saw 49% of the ball and created 11 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 49% | 11 (4) | 1.05 | 44 |
 Newcastle | 51% | 12 (9) | 2.01 | 39 |
Brighton vs Burnley Stats
Key Stats
| Brighton | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | Attacking Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.07 | Defence Strength | 1.7 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 0.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Brighton are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Burnley average 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Brighton 14-12
Burnley 8-20
What are the odds for this match?
Brighton to win: @1.5
Draw: @4.333
Burnley to win: @6.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @2
Lineups
Brighton (4-2-3-1) : Bart Verbruggen, Joel Veltman, Jan Paul Van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, Yasin Ayari, Brajan Gruda, Diego Gomez, Georginio Rutter, Kaoru Mitoma, Charalampos Kostoulas
Burnley (5-4-1) : Martin Dubravka, Kyle Walker, Josh Laurent, Hjalmar Ekdal, Bashir Humphreys, Lucas Pires, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Lesley Ugochukwu, Florentino Luis, Jaidon Anthony, Armando Broja
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