Our Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: 2-2
Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Wednesday February 25, 2026. A 2-2 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atalanta's Last Match – Atalanta vs Napoli
Atalanta must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 Italy Serie A victory over Napoli in their last outing. In that match, Atalanta recorded 57% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atalanta | 57% | 9 (7) | 0.74 | 74 |
 Napoli | 43% | 9 (4) | 1.07 | 42 |
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 Germany Bundesliga I stalemate against RB Leipzig on February 21. In that match, Borussia Dortmund recorded 45% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 RB Leipzig | 55% | 8 (3) | 1.78 | 43 |
 Borussia Dortmund | 45% | 5 (5) | 1.31 | 51 |
Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Stats
Key Stats
| Atalanta | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | Attacking Strength | 1.35 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 1.27 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atalanta are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Borussia Dortmund average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Atalanta 16-9
Borussia Dortmund 22-11
What are the odds for this match?
Atalanta to win: @2
Draw: @3.8
Borussia Dortmund to win: @3.4
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975
Lineups
Atalanta (3-4-2-1) : Marco Carnesecchi, Giorgio Scalvini, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac, Davide Zappacosta, Marten De Roon, Mario Pasalic, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Lazar Samardzic, Nicola Zalewski, Gianluca Scamacca
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1) : Gregor Kobel, Emre Can, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Maximilian Beier, Julian Brandt, Serhou Guirassy