Our Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction: 2-0
Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 4, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao
Borussia Dortmund will aim to maintain their momentum following a 4-1 UEFA Champions League triumph against Athletic Bilbao on October 1. In that match, Borussia Dortmund recorded 52% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 52% | 10 (8) | 1.08 | 34 |
 Athletic Bilbao | 48% | 5 (3) | 0.95 | 37 |
RB Leipzig's Last Match – Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig
Determined to maintain their recent success, RB Leipzig must win following their 1-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory against Wolfsburg on September 27. In that match, RB Leipzig saw 50% of the ball and created 14 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wolfsburg | 50% | 13 (4) | 2.81 | 32 |
 RB Leipzig | 50% | 14 (6) | 2.34 | 67 |
Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Stats
Key Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | Attacking Strength | 0.34 |
| 0.54 | Defence Strength | 0.79 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while RB Leipzig average 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund 24-12
RB Leipzig 23-13
What are the odds for this match?
Borussia Dortmund to win: @1.7
Draw: @4.5
RB Leipzig to win: @4.2
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1) : Gregor Kobel, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Yan Couto, Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Karim Adeyemi, Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy
RB Leipzig (4-3-3) : Peter Gulacsi, Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Assan Ouedraogo, Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald, Johan Bakayoko, Romulo, Antonio Nusa