Our Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction: 1-1
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 1, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid will seek to go one better this time following a 4-4 Spain Copa del Rey share of the spoils with Barcelona on February 25. In that match, Atletico Madrid had 33% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Barcelona | 67% | 13 (9) | 3.45 | 85 |
Atletico Madrid | 33% | 7 (7) | 1.51 | 23 |
Athletic Bilbao's Last Match – Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid
Athletic Bilbao will look to carry forward their winning form after a 7-1 Spain La Liga success over Valladolid on February 23. In that match, Athletic Bilbao saw 56% of the ball and created 20 goal attempts, with 16 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Athletic Bilbao | 56% | 20 (16) | 3.79 | 49 |
Valladolid | 44% | 4 (3) | 0.45 | 12 |
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Madrid | Athletic Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Attacking Strength | 1.21 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 0.67 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Madrid are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Athletic Bilbao average 2.1 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Atletico Madrid 23-10
Athletic Bilbao 21-15
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Madrid to win: @2.05
Draw: @3.5
Athletic Bilbao to win: @3.6
Lineups
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2) : Jan Oblak, Nahuel Molina, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, Javi Galan, Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios, Samuel Lino, Antoine Griezmann, Alexander Sorloth
Athletic Bilbao (4-2-3-1) : Unai Simon, Andoni Gorosabel, Dani Vivian, Yeray Alvarez, Yuri Berchiche, Inigo Ruiz De Galarreta, Mikel Jauregizar, Inaki Williams, Unai Gomez, Nico Williams, Alex Berenguer