Our Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction: 2-1
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 25, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona
Atletico Madrid will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 UEFA Champions League loss to Barcelona on April 14. In that match, Atletico Madrid saw 37% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Madrid | 37% | 12 (5) | 1.63 | 31 |
 Barcelona | 63% | 13 (8) | 2.28 | 71 |
Athletic Bilbao's Last Match – Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal
Athletic Bilbao will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Spain La Liga loss against Villarreal on April 12. In that match, Athletic Bilbao controlled 61% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Athletic Bilbao | 61% | 9 (6) | 1.2 | 97 |
 Villarreal | 39% | 8 (6) | 1.09 | 24 |
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Madrid | Athletic Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 1.2 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Madrid are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Athletic Bilbao average 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Atletico Madrid 18-19
Athletic Bilbao 8-14
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Madrid to win: @2.3
Draw: @3.4
Athletic Bilbao to win: @3
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925