Our Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Prediction: 1-2
Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 7, 2026. A 1-2 result in favor of the away side is our top pick, yet with both teams creating chances, BTTS is a smart alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Athletic Bilbao's Last Match – Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao must win to recover from their recent 0-1 Spain Copa del Rey defeat against Real Sociedad on March 4 and regain momentum. In that match, Athletic Bilbao recorded 51% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Sociedad | 49% | 9 (4) | 1.56 | 43 |
 Athletic Bilbao | 51% | 6 (2) | 0.47 | 35 |
Barcelona's Last Match – Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid
Barcelona will hope to extend their good run following a 3-0 Spain Copa del Rey win against Atletico Madrid on March 3. In that match, Barcelona recorded 71% possession, firing 17 shots at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Barcelona | 71% | 17 (9) | 3.09 | 22 |
 Atletico Madrid | 29% | 5 (2) | 0.67 | 10 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Stats
Key Stats
| Athletic Bilbao | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | Attacking Strength | 2.04 |
| 1.06 | Defence Strength | 1.11 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2.4 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 10/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 2.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Athletic Bilbao are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Barcelona average 2.6 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Athletic Bilbao 15-14
Barcelona 26-10
What are the odds for this match?
Athletic Bilbao to win: @4.75
Draw: @4.5
Barcelona to win: @1.615
Lineups
Athletic Bilbao (4-2-3-1) : Unai Simon, Andoni Gorosabel, Dani Vivian, Aymeric Laporte, Adama Boiro, Mikel Jauregizar, Alejandro Rego Mora, Alex Berenguer, Selton Sued Sanchez Camilo, Unai Gomez, Inaki Williams
Barcelona (4-3-3) : Joan Garcia, Joao Cancelo, Pau Cubarsi, Eric Garcia, Gerard Martin, Marc Casado, Marc Bernal, Dani Olmo, Lamine Yamal, Ferran Torres, Marcus Rashford